Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Sets New 12-Month Low Following Weak Earnings

Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI)’s stock price reached a new 52-week low during trading on Thursday following a weaker than expected earnings announcement. The company traded as low as $5.60 and last traded at $5.9660, with a volume of 2335203 shares. The stock had previously closed at $6.04.

The company reported ($0.08) EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.02 by ($0.10). Genius Sports had a negative return on equity of 14.39% and a negative net margin of 19.71%.The firm had revenue of $240.50 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $234.94 million. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business posted ($0.12) EPS. Genius Sports’s revenue was up 37.0% compared to the same quarter last year.

Key Genius Sports News

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Revenue and EBITDA momentum — Genius reported sizable growth in 2025 (articles highlight ~31% revenue growth and a ~59% jump in EBITDA), which supports a path toward improved profitability. Genius Sports (GENI) Stock Rallies on 31% Revenue Surge and 59% EBITDA Jump in 2025
• Positive Sentiment: Revenue beat and upbeat FY2026 top-line guide — Q4 revenue of $240.5M topped estimates and management gave full-year revenue guidance of $810–$820M (slightly above consensus), which is a constructive signal for growth continuity. Genius Sports Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results
• Positive Sentiment: Commercial expansion into adtech and broadcast partners — new adtech deployments (e.g., Magnite, NBC Sports RSNs) broaden monetization channels and could lift ad revenue and yield over time. Genius Sports adds adtech deployments with Magnite, NBC Sports RSNs
• Neutral Sentiment: Full transcripts and slide deck available for diligence — management commentary (earnings call/transcript and slide deck) contains detail on margins, Legend acquisition rationale, and customer wins for investors wanting to dig deeper. Genius Sports (GENI) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
• Negative Sentiment: EPS miss and market reaction — GAAP EPS of ($0.08) missed the $0.02 consensus, triggering selling despite the revenue beat; that earnings miss is the primary short-term catalyst for the share decline. Genius Sports stock falls over 5% on earnings miss despite revenue beat
• Negative Sentiment: Continued net loss and weak margins — the company still reported a net loss and negative margins/ROE (net margin ~-19.7%, ROE negative), meaning profitability is not yet secured and earnings volatility will remain a risk. Genius Sports reports revenue gains, net loss in latest earnings
• Negative Sentiment: Acquisition uncertainty — the proposed Legend acquisition is dividing the Street, adding execution and integration risk that could weigh on the stock until clearer outcomes are visible. Genius Sports earnings loom as Legend acquisition divides Street

Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades

A number of research firms have recently issued reports on GENI. Benchmark restated a “buy” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Friday, February 6th. Stifel Nicolaus cut their target price on shares of Genius Sports from $10.00 to $7.00 and set a “hold” rating on the stock in a report on Thursday, February 19th. BTIG Research lowered their target price on Genius Sports from $16.00 to $11.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Thursday. Oppenheimer dropped their price target on Genius Sports from $15.00 to $12.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, February 6th. Finally, Guggenheim reduced their price objective on Genius Sports from $17.00 to $12.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Friday, February 6th. Three analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have assigned a Buy rating, two have given a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, Genius Sports currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $13.00.

Institutional Trading of Genius Sports

Hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. TimesSquare Capital Management LLC acquired a new stake in Genius Sports in the 4th quarter valued at about $59,851,000. Global Alpha Capital Management Ltd. bought a new stake in shares of Genius Sports in the 2nd quarter worth approximately $43,552,000. Invesco Ltd. lifted its stake in Genius Sports by 3,584.2% during the second quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 3,291,635 shares of the company’s stock valued at $34,233,000 after purchasing an additional 3,202,290 shares during the last quarter. Balyasny Asset Management L.P. boosted its holdings in Genius Sports by 785.5% during the fourth quarter. Balyasny Asset Management L.P. now owns 3,289,270 shares of the company’s stock worth $36,248,000 after buying an additional 2,917,830 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Voss Capital LP grew its position in Genius Sports by 35.4% in the fourth quarter. Voss Capital LP now owns 11,100,000 shares of the company’s stock worth $122,322,000 after buying an additional 2,900,000 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors own 81.91% of the company’s stock.

Genius Sports Price Performance

The company has a fifty day simple moving average of $8.46 and a 200-day simple moving average of $10.46. The company has a market cap of $1.32 billion, a P/E ratio of -12.86 and a beta of 1.91.

Genius Sports Company Profile

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.