HC Wainwright Forecasts Gevo’s Q3 Earnings (NASDAQ:GEVO)

Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ:GEVO) – Equities research analysts at HC Wainwright raised their Q3 2026 earnings estimates for Gevo in a research report issued on Monday, August 10th. HC Wainwright analyst A. Dayal now forecasts that the energy company will post earnings of $0.03 per share for the quarter, up from their prior estimate of $0.01. HC Wainwright currently has a “Buy” rating on the stock. The consensus estimate for Gevo’s current full-year earnings is ($0.07) per share. HC Wainwright also issued estimates for Gevo’s Q4 2026 earnings at $0.02 EPS, FY2026 earnings at ($0.75) EPS, FY2027 earnings at ($0.10) EPS, FY2028 earnings at ($0.07) EPS, FY2029 earnings at ($0.13) EPS and FY2030 earnings at $0.23 EPS.

Several other equities analysts have also recently commented on GEVO. Zacks Research raised shares of Gevo from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Tuesday, July 7th. Weiss Ratings reissued a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Gevo in a report on Friday, July 17th. UBS Group restated a “neutral” rating and set a $2.00 price objective (down from $2.25) on shares of Gevo in a research note on Friday, May 22nd. Wall Street Zen raised Gevo from a “strong sell” rating to a “sell” rating in a report on Saturday. Finally, Northland Securities set a $3.75 target price on Gevo in a research report on Thursday, July 16th. Two analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat, the stock currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $2.88.

Gevo Price Performance

GEVO opened at $1.63 on Wednesday. The company has a 50-day moving average of $1.53 and a 200-day moving average of $1.82. The company has a market capitalization of $403.00 million, a P/E ratio of -1.83 and a beta of 1.04. Gevo has a 1-year low of $1.37 and a 1-year high of $2.97. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37, a quick ratio of 3.51 and a current ratio of 4.31.

Gevo (NASDAQ:GEVO) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, August 6th. The energy company reported ($0.01) EPS for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of ($0.02) by $0.01. The firm had revenue of $46.50 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $46.40 million. Gevo had a negative net margin of 119.93% and a negative return on equity of 5.83%.

Institutional Trading of Gevo

Several hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in GEVO. Renaissance Technologies LLC boosted its position in Gevo by 153.8% during the 1st quarter. Renaissance Technologies LLC now owns 2,215,194 shares of the energy company’s stock valued at $6,047,000 after purchasing an additional 1,342,400 shares during the period. J. Derek Lewis & Associates Inc. acquired a new stake in Gevo in the fourth quarter worth $870,000. Caxton Associates LLP acquired a new stake in Gevo in the first quarter worth $153,000. State of Wyoming lifted its stake in Gevo by 389.6% in the first quarter. State of Wyoming now owns 139,543 shares of the energy company’s stock valued at $381,000 after buying an additional 111,041 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Baader Bank Aktiengesellschaft bought a new stake in Gevo in the first quarter valued at $49,000. Institutional investors own 35.17% of the company’s stock.

Insider Buying and Selling at Gevo

In related news, CFO Oluwagbemileke Yusuf Agiri sold 18,223 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Thursday, August 6th. The shares were sold at an average price of $1.54, for a total transaction of $28,063.42. Following the sale, the chief financial officer owned 472,893 shares in the company, valued at $728,255.22. This represents a 3.71% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Also, COO Christopher Michael Ryan sold 35,196 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Friday, June 12th. The stock was sold at an average price of $1.43, for a total transaction of $50,330.28. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief operating officer directly owned 1,279,245 shares in the company, valued at $1,829,320.35. This represents a 2.68% decrease in their position. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. The transaction was executed under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. The sale was made to cover tax withholding obligations related to the vesting of equity awards. Insiders sold 1,067,030 shares of company stock worth $1,691,411 in the last quarter. 7.09% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.

Gevo News Summary

Here are the key news stories impacting Gevo this week:

• Positive Sentiment: HC Wainwright maintained a “Buy” rating and a $14 price target for Gevo, signaling substantial potential upside from current levels. The firm also raised its Q3 2026 EPS forecast to $0.03 from $0.01 and projects $0.02 of EPS in Q4. Gevo Maintained at Buy as Earnings Outlook Strengthens
• Positive Sentiment: HC Wainwright improved its FY2027 EPS forecast to a loss of $0.10 from a loss of $0.21, suggesting expectations for a faster path toward profitability after 2026.
• Positive Sentiment: A recent review highlighted Gevo’s carbon strategy and North Dakota expansion as important elements of its future growth outlook, potentially supporting the company’s renewable-fuels and low-carbon business case. GEVO Q2 Deep Dive: Carbon Strategy and North Dakota Expansion Drive Outlook
• Neutral Sentiment: Northland Securities raised its Q3 2026 EPS estimate to $0.05 from $0.01 but lowered its Q4 forecast to breakeven from $0.01, indicating uneven near-term operating expectations.
• Neutral Sentiment: Reported short interest was zero shares, but the data showed no meaningful short-position activity and therefore provides little directional insight for GEVO.
• Negative Sentiment: HC Wainwright sharply reduced its FY2026 EPS forecast to a loss of $0.75 from a loss of $0.08. Northland also cut its FY2026 estimate to a loss of $0.72 from a loss of $0.05, far below the current consensus loss estimate of $0.07.
• Negative Sentiment: HC Wainwright lowered its long-term EPS forecasts for FY2028, FY2029 and FY2030, including reducing FY2029 from $0.65 to a loss of $0.13 and FY2030 from $0.69 to $0.23. These cuts raise concerns about the timing and scale of Gevo’s future profitability.

Gevo Company Profile

Gevo, Inc (NASDAQ: GEVO) is a renewable chemicals and biofuels company that develops and produces low-carbon alternatives to petroleum-based products. The company’s core technology platform converts fermentable sugars into isobutanol, which can be further processed into sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), renewable gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Gevo’s integrated biorefinery model combines fermentation, recovery, and downstream processing to deliver scalable, drop-in replacements for conventional fossil-derived hydrocarbons.

Gevo’s primary products include isobutanol, a four-carbon alcohol used as a building block for various fuels and chemicals, and hydrocarbon fuels that meet ASTM specifications for aviation and road transport.