BTIG Research Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Stock Price

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) had its price target dropped by equities researchers at BTIG Research from $16.00 to $11.00 in a report issued on Thursday,Benzinga reports. The brokerage presently has a “buy” rating on the stock. BTIG Research’s price target would suggest a potential upside of 104.65% from the stock’s current price.

Other equities analysts have also issued research reports about the company. Stifel Nicolaus decreased their target price on Genius Sports from $10.00 to $7.00 and set a “hold” rating on the stock in a research note on Thursday, February 19th. UBS Group reaffirmed a “buy” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Wednesday. Needham & Company LLC cut their price target on shares of Genius Sports from $16.00 to $14.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research note on Thursday. Macquarie Infrastructure reissued an “outperform” rating and issued a $15.00 price objective on shares of Genius Sports in a research note on Wednesday, November 5th. Finally, Oppenheimer dropped their price objective on shares of Genius Sports from $15.00 to $12.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a report on Friday, February 6th. Three investment analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have issued a Buy rating, two have assigned a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $12.84.

Genius Sports Stock Down 8.3%

Shares of NYSE GENI opened at $5.38 on Thursday. The firm has a market cap of $1.16 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -12.50 and a beta of 1.91. Genius Sports has a 52-week low of $5.36 and a 52-week high of $13.73. The business’s 50 day moving average is $8.25 and its two-hundred day moving average is $10.38.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) last released its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, March 4th. The company reported ($0.08) EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.02 by ($0.10). Genius Sports had a negative return on equity of 13.66% and a negative net margin of 16.67%.The firm had revenue of $240.50 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $234.94 million. During the same quarter last year, the company earned ($0.12) earnings per share. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 37.0% on a year-over-year basis. Analysts anticipate that Genius Sports will post -0.1 EPS for the current fiscal year.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Genius Sports

Several large investors have recently bought and sold shares of GENI. CWM LLC raised its position in Genius Sports by 275.5% in the 2nd quarter. CWM LLC now owns 3,980 shares of the company’s stock valued at $41,000 after purchasing an additional 2,920 shares in the last quarter. UMB Bank n.a. purchased a new position in shares of Genius Sports in the 4th quarter valued at about $63,000. Aster Capital Management DIFC Ltd acquired a new position in shares of Genius Sports during the third quarter worth about $65,000. Strs Ohio grew its position in shares of Genius Sports by 178.9% during the third quarter. Strs Ohio now owns 5,300 shares of the company’s stock worth $66,000 after buying an additional 3,400 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Amalgamated Bank purchased a new stake in shares of Genius Sports during the second quarter worth approximately $79,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 81.91% of the company’s stock.

Key Genius Sports News

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Company reported strong top-line momentum and margin improvement in 2025 — a 31% revenue surge and a 59% EBITDA jump — which supports longer-term recovery potential if management converts revenue growth into sustained profitability. GENI Stock Rallies on 31% Revenue Surge
• Neutral Sentiment: Full Q4 2025 earnings transcript is available for review — useful for assessing management commentary on margins, customer wins, and guidance (if any). Investors should read management’s tone and any forward-looking remarks. GENI Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
• Neutral Sentiment: Operational reporting is mixed — coverage notes revenue gains but a continuing net loss, so growth is clear but profitability still unresolved. That makes the stock sensitive to near-term margin commentary. Genius Sports reports revenue gains, net loss
• Neutral Sentiment: Minor operational/sports news: a reported £52m player transfer involving Richard Hughes was covered in media — relevant to the ecosystem but unlikely to materially move GENI’s fundamentals. Richard Hughes agrees genius £52m transfer
• Negative Sentiment: EPS missed expectations (reported -$0.08 vs. $0.02 consensus), which directly prompted selling pressure and a drop to a new 52‑week low; headlines and market reaction have been negative. Genius Sports Hits New 52-Week Low on Disappointing Earnings Shares Down Following Weak Earnings
• Negative Sentiment: Several brokerages cut price targets (Citigroup, Oppenheimer, Wells Fargo, Needham, BTIG). Although many maintained Buy/Outperform ratings, the lower targets reduce near-term upside expectations and likely intensified selling. Citigroup price target cut Oppenheimer price target cut Additional analyst coverage

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.