Vivid Seats (NASDAQ:SEAT – Get Free Report) announced its quarterly earnings data on Thursday. The company reported ($10.39) EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of ($1.81) by ($8.58), Zacks reports. Vivid Seats had a negative net margin of 24.08% and a positive return on equity of 4.50%. The company had revenue of $126.81 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $137.18 million.
Here are the key takeaways from Vivid Seats’ conference call:
- Q4 GOV fell to $581M from $994M year‑over‑year, revenues dropped to $127M and Adjusted EBITDA was only $1M as industry softness, a large private‑label loss and weaker concert onsales pressured results.
- The company has hit its expanded cost‑cut target of $60 million of annualized savings and completed corporate simplification (termination of the Tax Receivable Agreement and collapse of the dual‑class share structure), which management says improves transparency and frees cash to reinvest in growth.
- Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance with Marketplace GOV of $2.2–$2.6 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $30–$40 million, and provided Q1 targets (GOV $570–$620M, Adj. EBITDA $8–$10M and ending cash $125–$135M), signaling expectation of sequential improvement into H2.
- App and AI initiatives are highlighted as growth levers—app GOV is up over 20% year‑over‑year through early 2026 and app share rose >500 bps since Q3, plus a new Vivid Seats app in ChatGPT to capture AI‑driven discovery (current direct AI traffic is still ~1%).
- Leadership changes include a new CFO (Joseph Thomas) and a new General Counsel (Austin Arnett) and management says it has a refreshed strategy focused on product, efficiency and the core customer funnel to return to profitable growth.
Vivid Seats Stock Up 4.3%
Shares of SEAT stock traded up $0.24 on Friday, hitting $5.89. The company’s stock had a trading volume of 151,780 shares, compared to its average volume of 118,333. The stock has a market capitalization of $63.24 million, a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.15 and a beta of 0.95. Vivid Seats has a fifty-two week low of $5.06 and a fifty-two week high of $62.40. The firm’s fifty day moving average price is $6.72 and its 200-day moving average price is $9.94. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.41, a current ratio of 0.67 and a quick ratio of 0.60.
Institutional Trading of Vivid Seats
Key Headlines Impacting Vivid Seats
Here are the key news stories impacting Vivid Seats this week:
- Positive Sentiment: Craig Hallum upgraded SEAT from Hold to Buy and set a $15 price target (large upside from current levels), a bullish analyst signal that can attract buying interest. Read More.
- Positive Sentiment: Benchmark reaffirmed a Buy rating while cutting its target to $10 — the vote of confidence (still a Buy) and the elevated target vs. the current price can support upside momentum. Read More.
- Positive Sentiment: Management provided 2026 guidance calling for positive adjusted EBITDA ($30M–$40M for the year; $8M–$10M for Q1) and Q1 GOV recovery range — this forward profitability guidance is being highlighted by bulls as evidence the company can stabilize operations after a tough 2025. Read More.
- Neutral Sentiment: RBC lowered its target to $8 and moved to “Sector Perform” — the new target still implies upside but the downgrade of the target is a tempering of prior expectations. Read More.
- Negative Sentiment: Q4 results missed materially: reported EPS and net loss were far worse than expectations (massive non‑cash impairment drove a quarterly net loss of hundreds of millions; revenue and Marketplace GOV declined sharply year‑over‑year). These results and the large goodwill/intangible impairments increase near‑term risk and weigh on valuation. Read More.
- Negative Sentiment: Regulatory/app‑store risk disclosure: the company flagged changing app‑store rules as a new regulatory risk that could squeeze mobile margins and slow growth — an operational headwind for a business increasingly dependent on its app. Read More.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth
A number of equities research analysts have issued reports on the stock. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft set a $7.00 target price on shares of Vivid Seats in a research note on Tuesday, January 20th. Benchmark cut their price objective on Vivid Seats from $18.00 to $10.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Friday. Scotiabank set a $10.00 price objective on Vivid Seats in a research report on Friday. Citigroup lowered their target price on Vivid Seats from $13.00 to $10.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a research note on Monday, November 17th. Finally, Bank of America reaffirmed an “underperform” rating and set a $5.65 price target on shares of Vivid Seats in a research note on Thursday. Four investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, four have given a Hold rating and two have issued a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $14.27.
Get Our Latest Research Report on SEAT
About Vivid Seats
Vivid Seats, traded on NASDAQ under the ticker SEAT, operates an online ticket marketplace that connects buyers and sellers of live event tickets. The company specializes in facilitating purchases for sports games, concerts, theater productions and other entertainment experiences. Through its digital platform and mobile application, Vivid Seats offers real-time access to available tickets, transparent pricing and a 100% Buyer Guarantee, which ensures ticket authenticity and timely delivery.
Founded in 2001 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, Vivid Seats has grown from a regional reseller into one of North America’s leading ticket marketplaces.
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